Natural gas daily chart shows larger trend structure

Weekly Structure Turns Supportive

The bullish indications of Monday’s advance are also present in the weekly chart. An inside week breakout triggered on Monday, which further confirmed a reclaim of the 20-week moving average. That average has represented dynamic resistance since it was broken in early February.

Upside Targets Stretch Toward Key Resistance Zones

An upside breakout of the wedge indicates a potential upside target around $3.48, which is its beginning and a lower swing high. But the long-term 200-day moving average is due to be tested as a resistance zone, given the failure of support at the long-term uptrend line in January. It is now at $$3.43 and has started to stabilize by starting to go sideways. The uptrend also represents key potential resistance as well, but the 200-day moving average would need to be reclaimed first.

That leads the 200-day zone at risk of being broken to the upside. There is also the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of a prior decline at $3.52, providing another upside target zone if the buyers can retain control. Monday’s bullish price action suggests that they will.



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