Dynamic Resistance Cluster Builds Pressure
The downtrend line is key dynamic resistance and a decisive breakout above it will trigger a breakout of both the wedge and triangle patterns. Since the 50-day moving average is close to aligning with the trendline, it can be used as a proxy and is currently near $4,641 and falling. Since it was successfully tested twice during recent upswings, it represents key dynamic resistance.
Breakout Targets and Upside Projection
Upon a confirmed upside breakout, the first upside target zone is between $4,774 and $4,803, consisting of a lower swing high and the 100-day moving average, respectively. But given the two-pattern breakout that would signal, bullish momentum should be strong enough to exceed that price zone on the way to a lower swing high at $4,891.
Support Structure in Case of Breakdown
Further weakness could result in an eventual test of support near the 200-day moving average, now around $4,389. It is validated by several other indicators of support. However, the intersection of the lower wedge line with the uptrend line near $4,430 marks it as a potentially significant near-term support zone at a higher level. After that, the uptrend line marks potential support at consecutively higher price levels. Overall, this compression phase reinforces the broader theme established at the beginning of the analysis, where tightening price action beneath key resistance suggests an impending expansion of volatility once a breakout direction is resolved.
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