Yesterday’s surge in the crypto asset (cryptocurrency) market was incredible, wasn’t it? I’m sure many of you looked at the charts and felt your hearts race, thinking, “This is it!”
“I really want to go to a luxury hot spring inn or travel abroad at the end of this year…!” If you’re holding onto that thought, there’s no reason not to ride the wave currently happening in the market. In this article, I will explain the price forecasts leading up to the end of the year based on yesterday’s rise, as well as the probability of hitting new all-time highs.
The “Year-End Aloha” Scenario Suggested by Yesterday’s Surge
With yesterday’s significant bottom-up movement, the overall market trend has clearly shifted to bullish.
Looking at past data, the fourth quarter (October to December) is historically the period with the strongest anomaly (upward trend) for the crypto asset market. With the combination of loose monetary policies and institutional investors restructuring their portfolios toward the end of the year, market liquidity is set to increase dramatically.
It is highly likely that this surge at this timing is not just a temporary rebound, but rather the **”gateway to a full-scale major bull market toward the end of the year.”**
Probability of Breaking New Highs and Target Price Forecasts
I have estimated and predicted the target prices through the end of the year (mid-to-late December) and the probability of breaking past all-time highs (ATH) as follows.
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
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Probability of breaking new high (ATH): 75%
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Year-end target price forecast: $105,000 – $120,000 (Approx. 15 million to 17.5 million JPY)
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Analysis: Yesterday’s surge broke through a key resistance level. With the resumption of capital inflows into spot ETFs and macroeconomic tailwinds, a scenario where it breaks past its all-time high to reach unprecedented levels by the end of the year is highly probable.
2. Ethereum (ETH)
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Probability of breaking new high (ATH): 55%
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Year-end target price forecast: $4,500 – $5,200
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Analysis: It is showing strong support while following Bitcoin. With the increase in TVL (Total Value Locked) across the entire ecosystem, we can expect a development where capital rotates after the BTC rally and heads toward a new high all at once.
Action Plan to Get Your Year-End Travel Funds Through Cryptocurrency
Here are three realistic steps to prepare now and securely ensure your year-end travel funds.
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Clarify your capital and target amount
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Example: If you are aiming for a “300,000 JPY” budget for a year-end trip, calculate backward from your current surplus funds to see how much you can allocate.
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A portfolio centered on major currencies (BTC/ETH)
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Pre-setting profit-taking rules
Summary
Yesterday’s surge is merely the beginning of a big wave heading toward the end of the year. By taking advantage of the ideal market environment with a ‘75% probability of breaking new highs’ and acting wisely, let’s make a higher-grade luxury trip a reality this year-end!
Note that profits earned from cryptocurrency (miscellaneous income) are subject to comprehensive taxation with a maximum tax rate of 55%. Accurately grasping your ‘net profit remaining on hand’ is the key to ensuring you don’t go over budget at your travel destination. Don’t just get carried away by unrealized gains; plan your trip with taxes in mind!
